A forthcoming BOCSAR report examines the monthly count of non-domestic assaults recorded by the NSW Police since January 2009 to June 2015: a total of 78 months (62 months prior to lockout intervention and 16 months post the lockout intervention).
The report finds statistically significant reductions in the number of non-domestic assaults in the Kings Cross Precinct (down 45.1%) and Sydney CBD Entertainment Precinct (down 20.3%). Most areas adjacent to the Kings Cross or Sydney CBD entertainment precincts or within easy reach of these precincts show no increase in assault.
The table below shows the overall reduction in the monthly number of assaults in the two target areas, the Sydney CBD and Kings Cross precincts, together with the proximal and distal displacement areas and the rest of NSW.
* Includes parts of the following suburbs: Pyrmont (including the Star City Casino) , Ultimo, Chippendale, Haymarket, Surry Hills, Elizabeth Bay, Rushcutters Bay and Darlinghurst.
** Includes Bondi Beach, Coogee, Double Bay and Newtown.
The map below shows the two target areas, the Sydney CBD and Kings Cross precincts, together with the proximal and distal displacement areas. The distal displacement area is the aggregate of Bondi Beach, Coogee, Double Bay and Newtown.
This paper has been submitted to an academic journal and is currently under review.