Bureau of Crime Statistics and Research > Publications & Evaluations

Update to the evaluation of the Suspect Target Management Plan

 

The publication An evaluation of the Suspect Target Management Plan was revised on 15 February 2021 with the following changes:

  • Further clarification that the estimates from the analysis do not have a causal interpretation; and

  • Correction of a data error which led to a suggestion in the original paper that juvenile STMP participation was not related to an increase in custodial sentences.

The overall findings remain unchanged:

  1. Both STMP II and DVSTMP have a significant negative association with crime;

  2. The the STMP II result is weaker for Aboriginal people than non-Aboriginal people.

The changes follow an internal review conducted by BOCSAR after three technical papers raised questions about aspects of the study methodology (see here: Link to Critical Review - Macdonald; Link to Critical Review - Popovic; Link to Critical Review - Watson).

A detailed response to these concerns is here: Link to our response. 

The original report was published on 13 October 2020. (Link to original report).